BCI Falls 1.2 Points to 55.5 in July 2025

Islamabad, July 30, 2025, 10:22 PM PKT — Pakistan’s Business Confidence Index (BCI) has slipped by 1.2 points to 55.5 in July 2025, signaling economic unease, as per the latest Business Confidence Survey (BCS) by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) and Institute of Business Administration (IBA), per official data. The Industry sector led the downturn, dropping 3.5 points to 54.2, while the Services sector saw a slight dip of 0.5 points to 55.9. The BCI comprises the Current Business Confidence Index (CBCI), which fell 2.2 points to 53.6, and the Expected Business Confidence Index (EBCI), which declined 0.4 points to 57.3, though sectoral optimism softened the blow.

Inflation Expectations (IE) eased, dropping 1.2 points to 68.6, with the Services sector up 0.7 points to 67.9, while the Expected Employment Index slid 0.4 points to 55.2, and Average Current Capacity Utilization (ACCU) in manufacturing dipped 1.5 points to 66.0%. Web context on economic indicators shows mixed trends, while posts found on X reflect concern—some note declining confidence, others question policy impact. Critically, the narrative of “survey insights” may mask underlying stagnation—web data hints at past volatility, and X sentiment suggests distrust in sustained recovery, pointing to persistent challenges.